Thune says no to filibuster changes even after Trump's threats about SAVE America Act

Senate Majority Leader John Thune on Monday reiterated that there would not be changes to Senate rules in order to pass a Republican-led election reform bill that President Donald Trump has demanded be sent to his desk.

ABC News

"Yeah, that's not going to happen," Thune said when asked by ABC News about whether Senate rules requiring 60 votes to advance most legislative matters could be altered in light of Trump's new pressure campaign to pass theSAVE America Act, which would change voter ID requirements ahead of November's midterm elections.

Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images - PHOTO: Senate Majority Leader John Thune speaks to reporters following the weekly Senate Republican policy luncheon at the Capitol, March 3, 2026.

"The president clearly is very interested in getting the SAVE America bill up and voted on, although he wants a modified version of it, and so we'll do our best to do that," Thune said. "But the one thing I've said all along is, and I've told him and others, that I can't guarantee an outcome. I can't guarantee a result. If the result is only achieved by nuking the legislative filibuster, we don't have the votes to do that and so that's not a -- that's just not a realistic option."

Thune's comments come after Trump on Sunday threatened to withhold his signature on all legislation until the SAVE America Act is delivered to his desk.

What is the Trump-backed SAVE America Act requiring voter ID, proof of citizenship to register?

"It must be done immediately. It supersedes everything else. MUST GO TO THE FRONT OF THE LINE. I, as President, will not sign other Bills until this is passed," Trump said in a post on his social media platform.

In his post, Trump mentioned the possibility of utilizing the so-called "talking filibuster" to pass the SAVE America Act. The "talking filibuster" would be a change to Senate operating procedure that would allow senators to side-step the current rules requiring 60 votes to advance most legislation. It could see lawmakers making tireless speeches on endless numbers of amendments on the floor.

Absent a rules change to modify how it would work, Thune warned, a "talking filibuster" like the one being floated could quickly become a "monthslong" process that eats up valuable Senate floor time with no guaranteed outcome. There's not enough support, he said, to change the rules.

"Our time in the Senate is a finite resource and it's something that we need to use wisely and well to get as much done as we can," Thune said.

What is the SAVE America Act?

The SAVE America Act is a Republican-sponsored election reform bill. It would restrict mail-in ballots, require photo ID at polling places and mandate that states obtain proof of citizenship before registering a person to vote in a federal election.

TheHouse narrowly passed the billin February with the support of a singular Democrat. But the measure faces a harder battle in the Senate, where Democrats have vowed to block it from advancing.

Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, in a post on X on Sunday evening, said Trump's threat does not change Democrats' commitment to stonewall the bill.

"The SAVE Act is Jim Crow 2.0. It would disenfranchise tens of millions of people.  If Trump is saying he won't sign any bills until the SAVE Act is passed, then so be it: there will be total gridlock in the Senate," Schumer posted. "Senate Democrats will not help pass the SAVE Act under any circumstances."

What Trump has said about SAVE America Act amid his push for passage

Advertisement

On Monday, Thune suggested he could bring the SAVE America Act up for a floor vote as soon as the Senate completes its work on a housing measure that is currently making its way through the chamber and absent an agreement on funding for the Department of Homeland Security.

But a vote on that bill is unlikely to pass under the current Senate rules, and therefore may not meet the president's demands to send it to his desk.

What does Trump's threat mean for congressional business?

Congress may need to act on a number of important pieces of legislation that could be stalled by Trump's refusal to sign bills.

A White House official told ABC News on Monday that Trump's threat to withhold his signature on legislation does not apply to any potential funding solution that lawmakers reach to fund the DHS, parts of which have been shut down since Feb. 14 amid afunding fight over Immigration and Customs Enforcement.

If Congress reached an agreement on funding for the department, Trump's signature would be needed to enact that bill into law.

"The president was referring to other bills, not DHS funding," the official said. "If the Democrats do the right thing and pass funding for DHS, the president will, of course, fund the agency."

Mark Schiefelbein/AP - PHOTO: President Donald Trump speaks with the media as Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth looks on aboard Air Force One during a flight from Dover, Delaware, to Miami, Florida, March 7, 2026.

But there are other bills that could potentially come up that might be stalled due to Trump's threat.

If Congress were to approve any additional supplemental funding for the conflict in Iran, that would also require Trump's signature. So too would a key piece of bipartisan affordable housing legislation that is making its way through the Senate right now.

Thune said on Monday that he hopes Trump may still ultimately support some key pieces of legislation despite his threat.

"I know he is passionate about the SAVE America Act and his statement was an expression of that, but I hope at the end of the day that if we can move things across the floor here and actually put legislation on his desk, that he will find a way to sign it," Thune said.

Legislation can still be enacted without the president's signature, but it would be delayed.

If the president takes no action on a bill delivered to his desk for 10 days, excluding Sundays, while Congress is in session, a bill automatically becomes law.

If Trump vetoed legislation instead of simply refusing to sign it, lawmakers would have to present bills with veto-proof majorities, which requires 2/3 majorities in both chambers. It's not clear from Trump's post whether he's threatening to veto legislation.

When asked about whether Trump is threatening to veto legislation, the White House referred ABC News back to the president's post, which makes no specific reference to vetoes.

ABC News' John Parkinson and Michelle Stoddart contributed to this report.

Thune says no to filibuster changes even after Trump's threats about SAVE America Act

Senate Majority Leader John Thune on Monday reiterated that there would not be changes to Senate rules in order to pass a...
A Jan. 6 rioter doesn't want Trump's pardon. Supreme Court weighs in.

WASHINGTON − A presidential pardon?

USA TODAY

No thanks, said Glenn Brooks, who was convicted for his role in theJan. 6, 2021, attack on the Capitol. He would rather try to clear his name through the courts than accept a pardon fromPresident Donald Trump.

TheSupreme Courton March 9 declined to give Brooks a chance to do that.

Lower courts had canceled Brooks' conviction for entering the Capitol and dismissed his appeal as no longer relevant after Trump last yearpardonednearly 1,600 people charged in the 2021 riot.

More:Jan. 6 rioter pardoned by Trump convicted of child sexual abuse

People hold a banner and placards as they gather ahead of a march from The Ellipse to the U.S. Capitol in memory of those who died on, or in the aftermath, of the Jan. 6, 2021 attack on the U.S. Capitol, on the fifth anniversary of the attack in Washington, D.C., Jan. 6, 2026. Former Proud Boys leader Enrique Tarrio (C) shakes hands with a demonstrator during a Jan. 6th memorial march marking five years since the attack on Jan. 6, 2026 in Washington, DC. Today marks the fifth anniversary of the Jan. 6, 2021 attack on the U.S. Capitol Building by Donald Trump supporters who claimed the presidential election had been stolen. Edward Young holds a People gather ahead of a march from The Ellipse to the U.S. Capitol in memory of those who died on, or in the aftermath, of the Jan. 6, 2021 attack on the U.S. Capitol, on the fifth anniversary of the attack in Washington, D.C., Jan. 6, 2026. Counter-protester Patricia Eguino (R) clashes with demonstrators during a Jan. 6th memorial march marking five years since the attack on Jan. 6, 2026 in Washington, DC. People hold a sign during a Jan. 6th memorial march marking five years since the attack on Jan. 6, 2026 in Washington, DC. A man wears a MAGA hat as people gather ahead of a march from The Ellipse to the U.S. Capitol in memory of those who died on, or in the aftermath, of the Jan. 6, 2021 attack on the U.S. Capitol, on the fifth anniversary of the attack in Washington, D.C., Jan. 6, 2026.

January 6 defendants march in DC five years after attack on Capitol

But Brooks, a home remodeling contractor and a "deeply religious man," argued he has the right to try to fully exonerate himself.

"A forced pardon operates as a compelled confession, branding the individual with guilt and stripping him of his chosen appellate forum," Brooks' lawyerstold the Supreme Court.

His lawyers also said the issue is "of profound national importance given the increased use of presidential pardons in politically sensitive cases."

The Department of Justice waived its right to respond to Brooks'Supreme Courtappeal.

Brooks, who traveled to Washington from Huntington Beach, California, to support Trump on Jan. 6, 2021, is one of a few people who found their pardons from Trump unpalatable for one reason or another.

'The worst day of my life'

Pamela Hemphill, aformer Trump supporterwho served two months in prison for storming the Capitol, formally rejected thepresident's pardon.

Advertisement

But, unlike Brooks, Hemphill had pleaded guilty to joining the angry mob of protesters.

The senior citizen said she turned down the pardon because she wanted to be honest.

"How could I live my life knowing that I was guilty and then I took that pardon?" shepreviously said. "It's kind of like a message that it was OK that day − it was not OK that day. That was the worst day of my life."

More:Pamela Hemphill, who rejected her Jan. 6 pardon, says 'it was not OK that day'

Pamela Hemphill rejected a pardon for her role in the Jan. 6 Capitol riot.

Brooks, by contrast, fought the four misdemeanors he was charged with for entering the Capitol and wants the chance to overturn his conviction. He argues that the government lacked sufficient evidence, particularly that Brooks knew what he was doing was a crime.

Member of his prayer group contacted FBI

Brooks was arrested after a fellow member of his prayer group told the FBI that Brooks had texted fellow church members photos of himself inside the Capitol. Security cameras showed Brooks, wearing a knit "Trump" hat, climbing through a broken window on the Senate side of the Capitol.

"Although he now recognizes entering the building was not appropriate and certainly entering through a window was inappropriate, at the time, he was following the crowd and walking through a window was not abnormal to him, as he worked on many construction sites in the past," an attorney for Brooks wrote in a filing.

A mob of supporters of President Donald Trump fight with members of law enforcement at a door they broke open as they storm the U.S. Capitol Building in Washington, U.S., January 6, 2021.

After a jury convicted Brooks in 2024, he was sentenced to six months in prison and ordered to pay $500 in restitution and a $2,000 fine.

Forcibly removed from prison for a pardon he didn't want

Near the end of his sentence, Brooks said, he was "forcibly awakened and removed from prison" despite his refusal to accept Trump's pardon.

"By forcibly imposing a pardon – an instrument historically associated with mercy for the guilty – the government conscripts the defendant into a narrative of culpability," his lawyers told the Supreme Court, "and cuts off the very process that could correct the record."

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY:A Jan. 6 rioter doesn't want Trump's pardon. Supreme Court weighs in.

A Jan. 6 rioter doesn't want Trump's pardon. Supreme Court weighs in.

WASHINGTON − A presidential pardon? No thanks, said Glenn Brooks, who was convicted for his role in theJan. 6, ...
Ex-Prince Andrew's Former Assistant Agrees to Speak to Police amid Claim She Signed Palace Check for Nude Massage Arranged by Ghislaine Maxwell

Charlotte Manley, ex-Prince Andrew's former assistant, says she is willing to speak with police about her time working for him

People Charlotte Manley and Prince AndrewCredit: Aaron Chown - WPA Pool/Getty; Mark Cuthbert/UK Press via Getty

NEED TO KNOW

  • Manley reportedly signed a check for a massage arranged by Ghislaine Maxwell and accompanied Andrew on trade envoy trips

  • Andrew was arrested in February on misconduct allegations tied to Jeffrey Epstein, as scrutiny of his past actions continues to grow

Charlotte Manley, a past assistant for the formerPrince Andrew, has agreed to speak with police in the wake of Andrew's arrest.

The 68-year-old former Royal Navy officer served as a private secretary and treasurer to Andrew from 2001 to 2003, and was also Andrew's assistant private secretary and treasurer since 1996.

Manley toldThe Timesin the U.K., that she'd be willing to speak with police about her time serving King Charles' brother, now known as Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor.

When theTimesvisited her home to ask about the alleged payment and the accusations against her former employer, Manley declined the opportunity to comment on the accusations against her former employer, saying, "I would rather talk to the police than the press, not that I would have much to tell them."

Manley regularly accompanied Andrew on his international visits while he was serving as the U.K.'s special representative for trade and investment.

Ex-Prince Andrew's former assistant Charlotte Manley speaking with Donald Trump and wife Melania in Sept. 2025.Credit: Aaron Chown - WPA Pool/Getty

Andrew was arrested on Feb. 19 and detained for 11 hours on suspicion of misconduct in public office, linked to allegations that he improperly shared information as a U.K. trade envoy with the late convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein.

According toThe Times, Manley signed a £75 ($100) check from the Buckingham Palace bank account on Andrew's behalf in 2000 for a massage arranged by Epstein's girlfriendGhislaine Maxwell.

PEOPLE has reached out to Buckingham Palace for comment.

Advertisement

Princess Anne, ex-Prince Andrew, and Prince Edward at the committal service for Queen Elizabeth in Sept. 2022.Credit: Max Mumby/Indigo/Getty

Maxwell's former masseuseMonique Giannelloni previously sharedthat Manley arranged for her to visit Andrew at the Palace.

"I got to the room and Andrew was stood there in a robe," Giannelloni previously told theDaily Mail. "After saying 'hello', he disappeared to the bathroom and came back in the nude. I averted my eyes, and I was quite embarrassed."

Giannelloni added that despite the initial awkwardness, Andrew was "very nice and very gentlemanly" for the rest of the massage.

Prince Andrew and Virginia Giuffre with Ghislaine Maxwell.Credit: HANDOUT/US District Court - Southern Dis/AFP via Getty

Can't get enough of PEOPLE's Royals coverage?Sign up for our free Royals newsletterto get the latest updates on Kate Middleton, Meghan Markle and more!

Andrew's conduct has been called into question for more than a decade thanks to sexual-assault allegations made by lateprominent Epstein accuser, Virginia Giuffre. Andrew has repeatedly denied claims that Giuffre was forced into sexual encounters with him at the age of 17 in the early 2000s. In 2022, the two reached a civil settlement without admission of liability.Giuffre died by suicidein 2025.

As Andrew's fall from grace continues, an MP has now called for an offshore firm linked to the royal to be investigated. The MP is seeking answers on whether the firm helped to fund Andrew's escapades while he served as trade envoy.

According toThe Times, documents revealed that Andrew jointly owned a company called Inverness Asset Management, which was registered in the British Virgin Islands in 2007 and later wrapped in 2019.

Read the original article onPeople

Ex-Prince Andrew’s Former Assistant Agrees to Speak to Police amid Claim She Signed Palace Check for Nude Massage Arranged by Ghislaine Maxwell

Charlotte Manley, ex-Prince Andrew's former assistant, says she is willing to speak with police about her time workin...
Princess Anne Pokes Fun at Her Awkward Handshake with Scotland Rugby Captain: See the Hilarious Moment!

Princess Anne poked fun at her previous awkward encounter with Scottish Rugby player Sione Tuipulotu after the team's recent win

People Credit: Malcolm Mackenzie/Getty

NEED TO KNOW

  • Sione Tuipulotu had attempted to hug the Princess Royal in February, but she offered him a handshake instead

  • Tuipulotu jokingly pretended to lean in for another hug over the weekend

Princess Anneshowed her sense of humor when she joked with Scottish rugby player Sione Tuipulotu about an awkward moment the two previously shared.

Following Scotland's win against England last month, an excited Tuipulotu went to hug the Princess Royal, 75, when she congratulated him — a gesture Princess Anne politely rejected, opting to shake Tuipulotu's hand instead.

On Saturday, March 7, while celebrating Scotland's victory against France in the Six Nations Championship, Tuipulotu jokingly pretended to lean in for another hug as the royal laughed and playfully held her hands up. However, they once again skipped the hug in favor of a handshake.

Guinness Men's Six Nations shared a clip on Instagram comparing the two moments, writing in the caption that it was a "brilliant moment."

"This close to a hug," Scottish Rugby captioned a video of the moment onX, getting in on the fun surrounding the royal who has been the patron of the Scottish Rugby Union since 1986.

Advertisement

While members of the British royal family can be greeted with a curtsy or bow, less formal gestures, such as handshakes, are also acceptable. However, initiating physical contact is generally discouraged.

Lucy Hume, an associate director at coaching company Debrett's, a respected authority on modern British etiquette, previously toldThe Mirror, "Best not to initiate personal physical contact with a member of the royal family. Again, it may be that they offered to give you a hug or to put their arm around you, but usually wait and see what's expected or what's appropriate for the event."

Credit: Stu Forster/Getty

Can't get enough of PEOPLE's Royals coverage?Sign up for our free Royals newsletterto get the latest updates on Kate Middleton, Meghan Markle and more!

Television personalityElisabeth Hasselbeck, a former co-host ofThe View,recently recalled a similarly awkward encounterwhen she tried to hug the late Queen Elizabeth.

Read the original article onPeople

Princess Anne Pokes Fun at Her Awkward Handshake with Scotland Rugby Captain: See the Hilarious Moment!

Princess Anne poked fun at her previous awkward encounter with Scottish Rugby player Sione Tuipulotu after the team's...
Conan O'Brien opens up about his 'name being attached' to the deaths of Rob and Michele Reiner

Conan O'Brienis getting ready to host Sunday'sOscars, which will include atributeto the late actor and filmmakerRob Reiner. Ahead of the ceremony, O'Brien opened up about the "sadness" surroundingthe lossof his close friend.

Entertainment Weekly Conan O'Brien on June 13, 2025 in New York City; Rob Reiner during the 14th annual Dubai International Film Festival held at the Madinat Jumeriah Complex on December 9, 2017 in Dubai, United Arab EmiratesCredit: Cindy Ord/Getty; Neilson Barnard/Getty

The comedian hosted a holiday party in December that Reiner and his wife, Michele, attended the night before they were found stabbed to death.

"Very simply, we had a party, we invited our really good friends and then, the next day, this terrible thing happened,"O'Brien toldThe Hollywood Reporterof his name being connected to the tragic events. "Whatever difficulties my wife and I have experienced having our name attached to it are nothing compared to the scale of the tragedy for the family and the loss of Rob and Michele. If you're a known person, your name is going to get dragged into things sometimes, but it is not a hardship. There is only sadness that they're gone."

Rob Reiner and Michele Reiner on July 9, 2018 in West Hollywood, CalifCredit: Alberto E. Rodriguez/Getty

The Reiners were found dead in their home in the Brentwood neighborhood of Los Angeles, Calif., on Dec. 14, and their son Nick was subsequently arrested andchargedwith murder.Sources later told PEOPLEthat Rob and Nick hadengaged in a heated argumentat O'Brien's Dec. 13 party, with one person telling the outlet that Nick was "freaking everyone out, acting crazy, kept asking people if they were famous." Another report fromNBC Newssaid that Nick's behavior left his parents and other guests feeling uncomfortable.

Advertisement

Get your daily dose of entertainment news, celebrity updates, and what to watch with ourEW Dispatch newsletter.

O'Brien toldTHRthat he has opted not to address the loss of the Reiners on his own podcast because that felt "disrespectful." The comedian did previously open up about his relationship with the Reiners in aNew Yorkerprofile.

"I knew Rob and Michele, and then increasingly got closer and closer to them, and I was seeing them a lot,"he said. "My wife and I were seeing them a lot, and they were so — they were just such lovely people. And to have that experience of saying good night to somebody and having them leave and then find out the next day that they're gone. … I think I was in shock for quite a while afterward."

Nick Reiner appears during his arraignment in Los Angeles on Feb. 23, 2026Credit: CHRIS TORRES/POOL/AFP via Getty

"It's just so awful," O'Brien continued. "And I think about how Rob felt about things that are happening in the country, how involved he was, how much he put himself out there — and to have that voice go quiet in an instant is still hard for me to comprehend."

Nick Reiner has pleaded not guilty to the murder charges, and his next hearing is set for April 29.

The 2026 Oscars air Sunday on ABC at 7 p.m. ET/4 p.m. PT. The ceremony will also stream on Hulu.

Read the original article onEntertainment Weekly

Conan O'Brien opens up about his 'name being attached' to the deaths of Rob and Michele Reiner

Conan O'Brienis getting ready to host Sunday'sOscars, which will include atributeto the late actor and filmmakerR...

The View cohosts have spoken out against Timothée Chalamet's anti-opera comments.

Entertainment Weekly Whoopi Goldberg slams Timothée Chalamet over recent comments about operaCredit: ABC; Getty

Key Points

  • Sunny Hostin called Chalamet "vapid" and "shallow" over his words.

  • Whoopi Goldberg advised, "Be careful, boy," after the Marty Supreme star said "no one cares" about those specific performing arts disciplines.

The Viewcohosts have entered a ping-pong match of words againstMarty SupremeOscar nomineeTimothée Chalamet.

Amid public blowback to theHollywood superstar's recent jabs againstthe popularity of opera and ballet, EGOT-winning actressWhoopi Goldberg, legal expertSunny Hostin, and guest cohostSheryl Underwoodall took aim at Chalamet's words on Monday's broadcast ofThe View.

Hostin advised that "ballet is hard," and told the audience, "I'm offended and disappointed in what he said. I didn't realize he was that vapid and that shallow."

Timothée Chalamet in 'Marty Supreme'Credit: A24

Underwood, a comedian and lifelong Republican filling in for conservative cohost Alyssa Farah Griffin, chalked the 30-year-old Chalamet's ill-advised words up to "being young."

"I think he thought he could say that," she added. "First, he just made the good ping-pong movie. He's a young, handsome man, but I bet if he was playing [dancer] Rudolf Nureyev… he'd respect the art form a little bit better."

"That goes to show a lot of young people need to understand, don't just flip off and say something," Underwood said. "Really understand that your words have meaning to other young people. I think he can do it."

Underwood then looked toward the audience at home to deliver a cheeky message: "But, also, where's the camera at so I can speak to Timothée personally: Young man, if you would like to come and talk to me about this, I'm willing to hear your thoughts."

Get your daily dose of entertainment news, celebrity updates, and what to watch with ourEW Dispatch newsletter.

"Yes, correct, I'll join you," Hostin quipped, while Underwood exclaimed, "Tag team!"

Advertisement

Goldberg then stepped in, reacting to the aforementioned bit with a firm, "Yeah, no," before adding her thoughts on the matter.

"You come from a dance family, so when you crap on somebody else's art form, it doesn't feel good," theGhostandColor Purplestar said, referencing Chalamet's mother and sister's involvement in the arts he criticized. "You probably didn't realize, until you said, 'Oh, I'm in trouble,' but then you compounded it and said, '14 cents.' No, when people get mad, it'll be a lot more than 14 cents, so be careful. I'm just saying. Be careful, boy."

Whoopi Goldberg, Sara Haines, Ana Navarro, Sunny Hostin, and Sheryl Underwood on 'The View'Credit: ABC

After the cohosts and audience reacted in light shock over Goldberg's assessment, she doubled down: "He is a boy to me," she said. "No disrespect. Really, don't apologize when you've insulted. It doesn't sound right. You can't say, 'Oh, this is dumb, no disrespect.' That's absolute disrespect."

Entertainment Weeklyhas reached out to representatives for Chalamet for a response.

"I don't want to be working in ballet or opera, or things where it's like, 'Hey, keep this thing alive, even though no one cares about this anymore,'" Chalamet said in a recent town halldiscussionwith fellow actorMatthew McConaughey. "All respect to the ballet and opera people out there. I just lost 14 cents in viewership. I just took shots for no reason."

Chalamet's remarks also drew a response from the esteemed Metropolitan Opera, the Instagram account for which recentlyposted a videospotlighting the intense craftsmanship that goes into its productions.

"This one's for you, @tchalamet," the account wrote, tagging the four-time Oscar-nominee in the caption. "All respect to the opera (and ballet) people out there."

The Viewairs weekdays on ABC.

Read the original article onEntertainment Weekly

“The View” cohosts slam 'vapid' and 'shallow' Timothée Chalamet over anti-opera comments: 'Be careful, boy'

The View cohosts have spoken out against Timothée Chalamet's anti-opera comments. Key Points Sunny Hostin...
Prewar US intel assessment found intervention in Iran wasn't likely to change leadership

WASHINGTON (AP) — A U.S. intelligence assessment completed shortly before the United States and Israel launcheda war in Iranhad determined that American military intervention wasnot likely to lead to regime changein the Islamic Republic, according to two people familiar with the finding.

Associated Press People wave Iranian flags as they hold posters of the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, showing him at different ages, during a rally to support his son Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, who succeeds his father as the new supreme leader, in Tehran, Iran, Monday, March 9, 2026. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi) A poster of Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, the successor to his late father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei as supreme leader is placed on an anti-riot police car as policemen stand on top of the car, during a rally to support him in Tehran, Iran, Monday, March 9, 2026. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

APTOPIX Iran US Israel

The National Intelligence Council's assessment in February concluded that neither limited airstrikes nor a larger, prolonged military campaign would be likely to result in a new government taking over in Iran, even if the current leadership was killed, according to the two people, who spoke on condition of anonymity to describe the classified report.

The determination undercuts the administration's assertion that it can complete its objectives in Iran relatively quickly, perhaps in a matter of weeks. The administration has asserted that it was not seeking regime change in Iran, even as the strikes have taken out many figures in the Iranian leadership and President Donald Trump considers whomhe would like to see lead the country.

The intelligence assessment concluded that no one powerful or unified opposition coalition was poised to take over in Iran if the leadership was killed, according to the people familiar with the report. It determined that Iran's establishment would attempt to preserve continuity of power if Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed, the people said.

In line with the assessment's findings, Iran's leading clerics on Sunday chose a new supreme leader,Mojtaba Khamenei,to succeed his father, who was killed in the war's opening salvo. The son is believed to hold views that are even more hardline than his father, and his selection is a strong sign of resistance from Iran's leadership and an indication the government won't step aside quickly.

The details of the assessment were reported earlier by The Washington Post and The New York Times.

Trump and other top administration leaders have givendifferent justifications for the strikesthat began on Feb. 28, saying they were necessary to set back Iran's nuclear weapons program or to preempt an Iranian ballistic missile attack. While Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has said the waris not aimed at regime change, Trump has said it'ssomething he wants to see.

Advertisement

A spokesperson for the Office of the Director of National Intelligence declined to comment on the assessment on Monday and referred questions to the White House. Director Tulsi Gabbardfired the council's acting chairpersonlast year after therelease of a declassified NIC memothat contradicted statements the Trump administration has used to justifydeporting Venezuelan immigrants.

Trump, dating back to his first term, has been deeply skeptical of the U.S. intelligence community and has frequently dismissed its findings as politically motivated or part of a "deep state" effort to undermine his presidency.

Richard Goldberg, director for countering Iranian weapons of mass destruction at the National Security Council during Trump's first term, noted that there's also a measure of skepticism toward the intelligence community because of some of its big misses in recent years.

U.S. intelligence agencies widely failed to predict the rapid collapse of the Afghan government to the Taliban that transpired in 2021, with most assessments suggesting a much slower takeover. And in the lead-up to Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022, the ODNI, the Defense Department and the CIA wrongly estimated that Kyiv would quickly fall to a bigger and better equipped Russian military.

Goldberg, who is now a senior adviser at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, a hawkish Washington think tank, said an intelligence assessment is "almost like an op-ed from the intelligence community."

Associated Press writers Aamer Madhani in Doral, Florida, and David Klepper in Washington contributed to this report.

Prewar US intel assessment found intervention in Iran wasn't likely to change leadership

WASHINGTON (AP) — A U.S. intelligence assessment completed shortly before the United States and Israel launcheda war in I...

 

GEAR JRNL © 2015 | Distributed By My Blogger Themes | Designed By Templateism.com